Tuesday, March 18, 2008

The Extropians' Delayed Democracy


The Extropians are one of Second Life's newer communities and have been one of the fastest growing. They launched with their first sim, Extropia Core, in November 2007 and have since expanded to six with more in the pipeline. The Extropians are united by a belief in a positive future and excited by transhumanist concepts such as the Singularity and the potential for technology to extend and enhance our lives. Prokofy Neva, droll as ever, has labelled them "the brain-uploaders". Extropia launched with an Avatar Bill of Rights, a Covenant and the promise of elections and a 'limited constitutional democracy'. It hasn't gone quite like that though and I don't think we can say that the Extropians have joined the community of democratic virtual micronations, at least not yet. But the reasons why they have not taken this path are fascinating in themselves and present questions that the Confederation of Democratic Simulators (CDS) and others need to consider.


I'll confess I have a soft spot for the Extropians. I like their positive attitude towards the future and the possibilities that it holds. It's refreshing to meet people who think that things will actually be better in the future and who reject the dystopian projections of much sci-fi. They're also a refreshing antidote to the apocalyptic environmentalists who tell us that the planet is going to burn if we don't all adopt a hair-shirt lifestyle, right now! I've recently read Michio Kaku's "Parallel Worlds" on the back of his BBC 4 programme "Visions of the Future" and I find his enthusiasm for technology and the potential benefits to humans to be very infectious. So, I was intrigued to see that the Extropians would be forming themselves along democratic lines. This was especially interesting to me, as a citizen of the CDS, because it appeared that the Extropians had never heard of us! I'd always imagined that other democratic communities would come out of splits within the CDS; to find a new one emerging with no knowledge of our past was pretty exciting.


Their original plan was that each sim would elect a 'Node' who would primarily have dispute-resolution powers. I was never entirely clear what else the nodes would do or what their relationship to the Board of Directors would be but, it seemed like a start and the beginnings of a form of government that could evolve in a more democratic and participatory direction. But the Extropians have not taken this path, the nodes won't be elected any time soon and 'benign dictatorship' - the dominant model of government in Second Life - seems to be the result that the community has asked for.


I spoke to Sophrosyne Stenvaag, creator of Extropia Core,  Director of Marketing & External Relations/ Acting Director of Citizen Relations who told me that the fact that there were problems with their planned model emerged at their first Town Hall meeting. The vast majority of residents wanted the unelected Board to get on with making decisions and expanding the sims and did not want to put time and energy into elections etc. One or two residents disagreed and wanted there to be a formal, legalistic democratic structure; they ended up leaving the project, the only departures so far.


I think it's fascinating that democracy ended up detracting from the Extropians' mission and was ultimately rejected by the community, at least for the time being. The majority felt that a political process, and the consequent division into factions and an adversarial format for decision-making, would be fatal at this early stage in their development. The Extropians have understood, perhaps subconsciously, that they need to consolidate their 'civil society' institutions first and truly build a community before they entertain the trappings of a formal political process which will necessarily involve division and some disagreement.


Extropian civil society is certainly quite well-developed. Sophrosyne's Saturday Salons have attracted a number of stimulating speakers and a substantial audience. Last Sunday's lecture on Religion, Spirituality and the Avatar with guest speaker Robert Geraci/Soren Ferlinghetti managed to be both self-referential in the way that many SL events are while also connecting to a real life 'big picture' issue - religion - and intelligently examined the potential for cultural exchange in both directions. A science fiction book club is about to get off the ground. Civil rights are protected to some extent by the Charter of Civil Rights (which acknowledges its debt to Desmond Shang's Caledon).


I think this raises some interesting questions for those of us who are committed to democratic self-government in virtual worlds. Is democracy invariably 'a good thing' or is it possible that it is more appropriate at a later stage in community development rather than at the very start? If so, how does one make the transition from benign dictatorship to genuine democracy? Do communities need democratic self-government to fulfill their purpose or does it sometimes get in the way? Is it important to develop a thriving civil society first and then make the transition to democracy? I can see why this latter approach would make sense. A community that has learned to work together and play together without the disputes involved in 'politics' is one which is more likely to have high levels of trust among the participants. Trust is vital if people are to work together and yet it is such a fragile commodity in a virtual world where pseudonymous avatars meet on the internet - you may well not be who you say you are and 'you' may be several people who all pretend to be different.


It also confirms for me that, within the context of Second Life, there's a question mark over democracy as the ends rather than the means. In the CDS we have tended to see democracy as our purpose rather than as a means for making decisions and resolving conflicts. That has meant that we have occasionally been 'Democracy Sim' - a special type of role-play sim where (some) residents play at being legislators and debate the ideal Constitution. Over two years of active participation in the CDS political process I have observed far more energy being put into this kind of discussion than into expanding the CDS territory or taking the community forward in other ways.


Other communities have adopted a different path with democracy clearly identified as the process rather than the goal. In future articles I want to explore their experiences and draw lessons from them. In particular I want to consider the Cedar Island community, which has used a form of consensus decision-making to guide its development, and the academic and government entrants to Second Life such as SciLands, which use a democratic board structure to govern themselves.


I also wish the Extropians well. It would be great to see them evolve democratic institutions when they feel ready for them and to see what a future-focussed, ultra-modern democratic process could look like. It could be an opportunity to rethink the democratic process using the tools available to the 21st century rather than the 18th century and innovate in ways not considered before.

Thursday, March 13, 2008

An Evolutionary Experiment


My summer reading last year was Eric Beinhocker's 'The Origin of Wealth'. It's probably the best non-fiction book I've read in several years. I was really struck by his description of Microsoft's strategy in the OS wars of 1987 and wondered how that same approach could be adapted to the formation of democratic, self-governing communities in virtual worlds such as 'Second Life'.

Beinhocker takes us back to a time when Microsoft's continued dominance of the PC operating system market was far from assured. In 1987 MS-DOS was coming to the end of its useful life and Microsoft faced competition from other operating systems and the potential to fail if it's preferred solution - Windows - did not find traction in the marketplace. IBM was developing its own multi-tasking operating system OS/2, AT&T was leading a consortium including Sun Microsystems and Xerox to develop Unix, Apple was also a threat and maintaining a reputation for innovation. What Microsoft did was to invest in six possible futures simultaneously. Firstly, they continued to develop MS-DOS; with a large installed customer base and the potential to make incremental improvements it was possible that users might prefer to stick with the operating system they knew and were most familiar with. Secondly, they worked with IBM in a joint venture to develop OS/2 - 'if you can't beat them, join them'. Third, they held discussions with the various companies developing Unix to consider joint working. Fourth, they bought a major stake in Santa Cruz Systems, the major seller of Unix systems on the PC. Fifth, they built themselves a major Macintosh application development division outstripping Apple as the major developer of software for the Macintosh. Sixth, Microsoft made a major investment in the development of Windows.

Beinhocker sees the economy as a 'complex adaptive system' akin to the brain, the internet or an ecosystem. In such a system evolution is the driving force for adaptation and change. If we think of the operating system marketplace as just such an evolutionary system, we can see that Microsoft was experimenting with a number of designs to prepare for what would be the best fit in the marketplace. This feedback from the system informed the process of selection so that projects could be upgraded, wound down or ended. Once it became clear that the Windows strategy had the lead, Microsoft could divert investment to the successful project. Having a portfolio of strategies operating at once meant that they could quickly switch horses depending on which outcome was working best.

One problem we have had in the Confederation of Democratic Simulators (CDS) is that, for most of our history, we have been the only democratic, self-governing community in Second Life. As a result we tend to attract all or most of the people who would be interested in developing systems of democratic self-government. There are many different ways we could organise ourselves and so this leads to endless debates as the parliamentarians argue their case against the presidentials; the strict separation of powers crowd battle with those who favour cabinet-style government; the direct democrats argue for referenda against those who support representative democracy; the federalists battle the republicans. The Constitution we have ended up with is a bit of mish-mash - the result of many compromises between these different camps. The history of constitutional development in the CDS has largely been driven by compromises between competing visions of what democracy in virtual worlds should look like. But perhaps there is another way, an evolutionary way to test these ideas?

What if a rich benefactor set out to test competing ideas by establishing six new democratic, self-governing communities in Second Life? Each one could adopt a different democratic model as its template. We could have a "direct democracy" sim where all decisions are taken by weekly vote at a meeting where all citizens may participate and make proposals. There could be a "presidential" sim where a strong executive and strict separation of powers prevails. We could try out a "constitutional monarchy" with a figurehead monarch and decision-making politicians. Another sim might have an elected "tribal council" which exercises all legislative, executive and judicial functions. We could vary the executive configurations to try a three-person "triumvir" instead of a single-person presidency. We could try small legislatures v. larger ones. I'm sure there are many more than six possible variations but six would be a reasonable number to test a variety of quite different systems. Once established, the six communities would be set running and the business of elections and running the governments set in train.

How would we measure success though? One way would be to permit the communities to expand and bring in new citizens. The most successful model would be the community that expanded the most. Or we could permit the citizens in these six communities to 'vote with their feet' by allowing them to move from one community to another at intervals; the successful models would thrive and the unsuccessful ones decline.

But is expansion or contraction by itself a sufficient metric? Perhaps success could be measured by assessing citizens' quality of life according to a number of measures? We could use a version of the United Nations Development Program's Human Development Index adapted for our virtual world. A successful community, by this measure, would be one in which citizens' satisfaction, government approval and involvement and activism rates were high.

Clearly any such experiment would not be entirely free of bias or ethical objections. Each community would have to have different people involved (and that could be a difficult rule to keep given the ease with which alts are created). It might be that one community just gelled better and got on better than another because of the interaction between the different personalities. The islands may have different natural resources due to geography, location and public infrastructure (unless they were all clones of each other and co-located to remove those variables). One could also object to the experiment on ethical grounds - is it really acceptable to treat Second Life residents like lab rats and devise an interesting cage for them to run around in? On the other hand, if SL residents are willing to participate is there really a problem? The opportunity to live in a self-governing democracy is arguably one that many would take given the option.

I hope and anticipate that further democratic communities will emerge on the grid in a more organic fashion in the future so perhaps my artificially-constructed social experiment will not be necessary. I should have thought though that Second Life would provide exactly the kind of space in which to conduct such social experiments at minimal cost providing ethical standards were maintained. If there are any political studies departments out there willing to sponsor, I'm prepared to take a year's sabbatical from my paid job to get this off the ground! :) (But I won't hold my breath waiting to hear from someone).

Saturday, March 08, 2008

What's wrong with democracy?


I started this blog about two years ago with the intention of reporting on Neualtenburg (since renamed Neufreistadt as part of the Confederation of Democratic Simulators or CDS), Second Life's only democratic, self-governing community at the time. Since then I've been more of a participant than a participant observer, helping to found the Citizens' Social Democratic Faction and serving as a member of the government first on the Scientific Council and latterly as an elected member of the Representative Assembly and more recently Leader of the RA. But I have been observing all the time I've been active in the CDS and wondering 'Why has no one else followed our lead? Why are there no other democratic communities in Second Life?'

There are a couple in the pipeline- both the Al-Andalus Project and the Metaverse Republic are designing elaborate constitutional edifices to support democratic communities. We will see how they fare; I think it must be good to have more than one democratic experiment to observe so, from an academic perspective if no other, these are welcome developments. The Extropians have also founded their own democratic community which has expanded rapidly over the past six months.

But what can we learn from the CDS? I think there are four main reasons why people look at the CDS experiment and think 'not for me'.

1) It all takes too much time. If I were to calculate the hours spent running the CDS machinery of government well, it would come to a grand total exceeding the net worth of our property if it were represented by billable hours! I've been using 'toggl' to record how much time I spend on CDS business each week; it averages ten hours/week. I'm not complaining, when I took on the role as LRA I expected it would involve a time commitment and I cut back on WoW and my other games to compensate. But even if we assume that the other RA members, SC members and Chancellor have far less onerous commitments (and that's a big assumption) then we're still left with 50 or more working hours a week just to run the government. I doubt whether the overhead in other sims run along 'normal' SL lines is quite so high.

2) Recycling old debates. This is the 'CDS disease'. Every new set of citizens wants to remodel the Constitution according to their preferences/prejudices (and there's nothing wrong with that) but it means that debates over separation of powers, parliamentary v. presidential systems etc are continually returned to with different cast members involved. The 'oldbies' i.e. anyone who's been in the CDS longer than six months, will be familiar with this phenomenon; we've all nodded sagely from time to time and said 'Aah yes, I remember when we discussed this last year. Here's the forum thread, we're treading the same ground again.' This tends to infuriate the newer members raising the issue because for them it is a new discussion! This is one of the many potential fractures between newer and older members of the community.

This iterative approach is not necessarily a problem provided we learn from previous debates and don't spend too much time restating old positions. In a democracy we should be able to return to issues when the citizens want to see them addressed and we should be free to change our collective mind as a community and reverse a chosen course or embark on one that had previously been rejected. But it gives the impression that the CDS goes round in circles and lacks a clear sense of direction. Indeed, despite several attempts to get people to think about the issue, the CDS has never decided what it is for, beyond being an experiment in democracy.

3) It gets nasty. When people are compared to Mao, Stalin and Ceacescu over a dispute in a virtual world we have left the realms of rational debate. Now, we are all guilty of hyperbole from time to time but Mao? Really, there has to be a limit. There are different appetites for 'robust' debate and different conceptions (possibly with a cultural basis) of what is 'rude' when having a disagreement. So it's inevitable that people will fall out from time to time. In addition, the anonymity that an online environment provides allows people to be much more cutting than they might be face to face in the real world. I've noticed a change over time though as people become more invested in their avatar and their reputation; people (well, *some* people) take more care in expressing disagreement and don't see every political dispute as a fight to the death. A more stable environment, same people, fewer newcomers would probably lead to more civility.. but at the expense of innovation and new blood. I think there's also the question of the type of people a democratic community attracts. For the most part the CDS attracts people who are committed to making democracy work but it has weak defences against borderline personalities who can create a great deal of disruption and are difficult to challenge effectively. This is a subject I'll return to at greater length another time - the CDS has a number of 'exiles' who, at one time or other, attempted to impose their vision on an unwilling community.

4) Democracy becomes the end and not the means. The most active members of the community will tend to be the ones staffing the institutions needed to run a democratic, self-governing community in a virtual world. The CDS is occasionally accused of 'role playing' democracy by outsiders, and we sometimes worry that these criticisms may have some truth to them. It's not hard to see why given the enormous amount of effort put into running the machinery of government compared to, for example, building and maintaining our environment and working together on collaborative projects. I've previously argued that what we need is an 'enabling' RA which sets out to provide the necessary support so that our citizens can launch such creative projects. I think we are often too focussed on the RA as a community when really it ought to take second place to a thriving civil society where the real life of the community, the fun stuff, happens.

So where does that leave the CDS? In the words of the saying, "I wouldn't start from here if I were you!" Ideally, the CDS would reform itself to reduce the democratic overhead and enable civil society to flourish; cast some decisions in tablets of stone (if only to declare that referenda, or a directly-elected presidential Chancellor for example, are never going to be enacted so we can stop wasting energy arguing for/against them); find ways to minimise the disruptive potential of borderline personalities and obsessive monomaniacs; and decide what it is for, apart from just being a democratic, self-governing community. I'm not hopeful about the chances though. The recent discussion over how to recognise the contribution of volunteers to the CDS project has revealed the diversity of opinion that exists within the CDS over a relatively uncontroversial aspect of community life. The opinions expressed include those at one extreme who believe "virtue is it's own reward" or "from each according to his ability, to each according to his need" versus those who would erect statues in honour of the CDS 'great and the good'. The chances of much more substantial reforms, along the lines sketched out at the start of this paragraph, are frankly nil in my opinion.

But I do believe that the CDS will persist, and grow, and continue to evolve. It will do so as it has done so previously - slowly, with a great deal of noisy debate, some lobbing of verbal hand grenades and some spectacular departures of prominent citizens (which will continue to be quickly forgotten).

I hope that more democratic communities will be founded in Second Life and begin to offer a real choice; people will be able to vote with their feet and choose which kind(s) of democratic community they wish to live in. At some point, the CDS could split with a disgruntled minority setting out to found a new community. All of these developments will probably be positive for the CDS as a whole - friendly competition will drive innovation and challenge the accepted norms. The CDS has recovered from splits and acrimony in the past. It has a long future of further squabbling to look forward to!

Friday, March 07, 2008

A Return to Blogging


This blog has taken a bit of a back seat in recent years. I found the Confederation of Democratic Simulators (then named Neualtenburg), Second Life's oldest democracy and, without really intending to, got thoroughly involved in the politics of the community. Now that I've resigned as Leader of the Representative Assembly (the CDS legislature) after two years serving on one or other of the CDS' organs of government, I have a little more time on my hands to put some of my thoughts into better order and present them here. I think that the CDS experiment tells us a lot about the issues thrown up by virtual democracy and I hope to record my observations, based on two years of participant-observation, here.

One point to note in this short return to blogging is that the CDS is no longer the only democracy in Second Life. In recent months new democratic communities have emerged. The Extropians only opened their first sim in November 2007 but have recently expanded to six. Al-andalus is opening as a democratic community 'based on authentic Islamic principles' this weekend (8 March 2008). The Metaverse Republic project has yet to launch its system for inworld courts backed up by a parliamentary democracy but, when it gets off the ground, may be another one to add to the mix. All of these projects deserve greater description and scrutiny. There are disagreements, for example, over how democratic they really are and their claims need to independently assessed. I'll add my take on these projects and hope to add to the discussion.